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< ASSIGNMENTS / FINAL EXAM [SEMESTER II ]-05/15/2024 07:31
41
Which situation best describes conditional probability?
A finding the probability of two independent events occurring at the same time
B finding the probability of an event occurring two or more times
finding the probability of an event occurring only once
Dfinding the probability of an event occurring given another event had already occurred



Answer :

Let's dive into understanding the concept of conditional probability to determine the correct answer for the given question. We'll go through each option one by one:

### Option A
- Finding the probability of two independent events occurring at the same time
- This scenario describes the probability of the intersection of two independent events, often denoted as [tex]\( P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B) \)[/tex].
- This is not the definition of conditional probability but rather the joint probability of two independent events.

### Option B
- Finding the probability of an event occurring two or more times
- This option could be related to repeated trials or the Poisson distribution, which deals with the probability of a given number of events happening in a fixed interval of time or space.
- Again, this is not the concept of conditional probability.

### Option C
- Finding the probability of an event occurring only once
- This refers to a simple probability scenario where we are considering the probability of a single event occurring.
- This does not account for the dependence on another event, which is crucial in conditional probability.

### Option D
- Finding the probability of an event occurring given another event had already occurred
- This is the precise definition of conditional probability.
- Conditional probability is denoted as [tex]\( P(A|B) \)[/tex], which means the probability of event [tex]\( A \)[/tex] occurring given that event [tex]\( B \)[/tex] has already occurred. It is calculated using the formula:
[tex]\[ P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} \][/tex]
- This explicitly describes a situation where the occurrence of one event influences the probability of another event.

### Conclusion
By examining all the options, it is clear that the situation which best describes conditional probability is:
- Option D: finding the probability of an event occurring given another event had already occurred

So, the correct answer is:
D