Harlene tosses two number cubes. If a sum of 8 or 12 comes up, she gets 9 points. If not, she loses 2 points. What is the expected value of the number of points for one roll?

A. [tex]$-\frac{2}{3}$[/tex]
B. [tex]$-\frac{1}{6}$[/tex]
C. [tex]$\frac{1}{6}$[/tex]
D. [tex]$\frac{2}{3}$[/tex]



Answer :

To determine the expected value of the number of points Harlene gets for one roll of two number cubes, let's break down the problem step-by-step.

First, we should understand the possible outcomes of rolling two six-sided dice and their corresponding probabilities.

### Possible Outcomes:
1. Sum of 8:
- (2, 6)
- (3, 5)
- (4, 4)
- (5, 3)
- (6, 2)

These are 5 outcomes that result in a sum of 8.

2. Sum of 12:
- (6, 6)

This is the only outcome that results in a sum of 12.

### Total Number of Outcomes:
Since each die has 6 faces, the total number of outcomes when rolling two dice is:
[tex]\[ 6 \times 6 = 36 \][/tex]

### Probabilities:
1. Probability of the sum being 8:
[tex]\[ \text{Number of outcomes resulting in a sum of 8} = 5 \][/tex]
[tex]\[ \text{Probability of sum being 8} = \frac{5}{36} \approx 0.1389 \][/tex]

2. Probability of the sum being 12:
[tex]\[ \text{Number of outcomes resulting in a sum of 12} = 1 \][/tex]
[tex]\[ \text{Probability of sum being 12} = \frac{1}{36} \approx 0.0278 \][/tex]

3. Probability of other outcomes (not 8 or 12):
[tex]\[ \text{Probability of sum NOT being 8 or 12} = 1 - \left(\frac{5}{36} + \frac{1}{36}\right) \][/tex]
[tex]\[ = 1 - \frac{6}{36} \][/tex]
[tex]\[ = 1 - \frac{1}{6} \][/tex]
[tex]\[ = \frac{30}{36} = \frac{5}{6} \approx 0.8333 \][/tex]

### Points System:
- Getting a sum of 8 or 12: 9 points
- Getting any other sum: -2 points

### Expected Value Calculation:
To find the expected value, multiply the points for each scenario by their respective probabilities and sum the results:
[tex]\[ E(X) = \left(\frac{5}{36} \times 9 \right) + \left(\frac{1}{36} \times 9 \right) + \left(\frac{30}{36} \times (-2)\right) \][/tex]

Let's break it down:
- For the sum of 8:
[tex]\[ \frac{5}{36} \times 9 = \frac{45}{36} = 1.25 \][/tex]
- For the sum of 12:
[tex]\[ \frac{1}{36} \times 9 = \frac{9}{36} = 0.25 \][/tex]
- For all other sums:
[tex]\[ \frac{30}{36} \times (-2) = \frac{30}{36} \times -2 = -\frac{60}{36} = -1.6667 \][/tex]

Add these contributions together for the expected value:
[tex]\[ E(X) = 1.25 + 0.25 - 1.6667 = -0.1667 \][/tex]

Thus, the expected value of the number of points for one roll is approximately [tex]\(-0.1667\)[/tex].

### Answer:
The expected value from the options provided is:
[tex]\[ -\frac{1}{6} \][/tex]

So, the correct answer is [tex]\( -\frac{1}{6} \)[/tex].