A taste test asks people from Texas and California which pasta they prefer, brand A or brand B. This table shows the results.

\begin{tabular}{|l|c|c|c|}
\hline & Brand A & Brand B & Total \\
\hline Texas & 80 & 45 & 125 \\
\hline California & 90 & 60 & 150 \\
\hline Total & 170 & 105 & 275 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}

A person is randomly selected from those tested.
What is the probability that the person is from Texas, given that the person prefers brand A? Round your answer to two decimal places.

A. 0.47
B. 0.45
C. 0.64
D. 0.62



Answer :

To determine the probability that a person is from Texas given that they prefer brand A, we need to use the concept of conditional probability. Specifically, we are looking for [tex]\( P(\text{Texas} \mid \text{Brand A}) \)[/tex].

The formula for conditional probability [tex]\( P(A \mid B) \)[/tex] is given by:

[tex]\[ P(A \mid B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} \][/tex]

Where:
- [tex]\( P(A \cap B) \)[/tex] is the probability of both events A and B occurring.
- [tex]\( P(B) \)[/tex] is the probability of event B occurring.

In this context:
- Event A is "the person is from Texas."
- Event B is "the person prefers brand A."

First, find [tex]\( P(A \cap B) \)[/tex], which is the probability that a person is from Texas and prefers brand A. From the table, the number of people from Texas who prefer brand A is [tex]\( 80 \)[/tex].

Next, find [tex]\( P(B) \)[/tex], which is the probability that a person prefers brand A regardless of their origin. The total number of people who prefer brand A is [tex]\( 170 \)[/tex].

Now, calculate the conditional probability:

[tex]\[ P(\text{Texas} \mid \text{Brand A}) = \frac{\text{number of people from Texas who prefer Brand A}}{\text{total number of people who prefer Brand A}} = \frac{80}{170} \][/tex]

Next, perform the division:

[tex]\[ \frac{80}{170} \approx 0.4706 \][/tex]

When rounded to two decimal places, this value is:

[tex]\[ 0.47 \][/tex]

Therefore, the probability that a randomly selected person is from Texas given that they prefer brand A is [tex]\( 0.47 \)[/tex].

So, the correct answer is:

A. 0.47