Answer :

Final answer:

Incumbents have a higher chance of winning elections due to factors like name recognition, media coverage, and financial backing, making them formidable opponents for new-runners.


Explanation:

Incumbents have a higher chance of winning elections compared to new-runners due to various factors such as name recognition, positive media coverage, prior election wins, financial backing, and existing campaign infrastructure. The incumbency advantage allows them to win reelection up to 90% of the time in congressional and local elections.

Moreover, incumbents benefit from franking privileges, which enable them to establish direct communication with voters. The challenge for challengers lies in building name recognition, securing funds, and competing against the established reputation of the incumbent.

Retrospective voting plays a role in this dynamic, with incumbents leveraging their past record to secure support and funding, making them formidable opponents for new-runners.


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