According to a survey, [tex]$15\%$[/tex] of city workers take the bus to work. Donatella randomly surveys 10 workers. What is the probability that exactly 6 workers take the bus to work? Round the answer to the nearest thousandth.

[tex]\[
\begin{aligned}
P(k \text{ successes }) & = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \\
\binom{n}{k} & = \frac{n!}{(n-k)! \cdot k!}
\end{aligned}
\][/tex]

A. 0.001
B. 0.002
C. 0.128
D. 0.899



Answer :

To determine the probability that exactly 6 out of 10 city workers take the bus to work, we can make use of the binomial probability formula. The binomial distribution describes the number of successes in a fixed number of independent Bernoulli trials (in this case, each trial is whether or not a city worker takes the bus).

Given values:
- Total number of trials (n): 10
- Number of successes (k): 6
- Probability of success on a single trial (p): 0.15

The binomial probability formula is given by:
[tex]\[ P(k \text{ successes }) = { }_n C_k \cdot p^k \cdot (1-p)^{n-k} \][/tex]

Here, [tex]\({ }_n C_k\)[/tex] is the binomial coefficient and is calculated as:
[tex]\[ { }_n C_k = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \][/tex]

Inserting the given values into the binomial coefficient formula:
[tex]\[ { }_{10} C_6 = \frac{10!}{6!(10-6)!} = \frac{10!}{6! \cdot 4!} \][/tex]

Next, evaluate [tex]\({ }_{10} C_6\)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ \frac{10 \times 9 \times 8 \times 7}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 210 \][/tex]

Now, use the binomial probability formula:
[tex]\[ P(6 \text{ successes }) = 210 \cdot (0.15)^6 \cdot (0.85)^{4} \][/tex]

We can break this down into manageable steps:
1. Calculate [tex]\((0.15)^6\)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ (0.15)^6 \approx 0.00001139 \][/tex]

2. Calculate [tex]\((0.85)^4\)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ (0.85)^4 \approx 0.52200625 \][/tex]

3. Multiply these results by the binomial coefficient:
[tex]\[ P(6 \text{ successes }) = 210 \cdot 0.00001139 \cdot 0.52200625 \approx 0.0012486552626953104 \][/tex]

Finally, rounding this probability to the nearest thousandth:
[tex]\[ 0.001 \][/tex]

Therefore, the probability that exactly 6 out of 10 city workers take the bus to work is approximately [tex]\(0.001\)[/tex]. The correct answer is [tex]\(0.001\)[/tex].