20 b) A population is Normal with [tex]$\mu = 40$[/tex] and [tex]$\sigma^2 = 64$[/tex].

If one item is taken randomly from this population, find the probability that it is:

i) Greater than 55
(3 marks)

ii) Less than 32
(3 marks)

iii) Between 35 and 50
(4 marks)

Total (10 marks)



Answer :

To solve the problem, we need to find the probabilities related to a normally distributed population with a mean [tex]\(\mu = 40\)[/tex] and a variance [tex]\(\sigma^2 = 64\)[/tex]. The standard deviation [tex]\(\sigma\)[/tex] is the square root of the variance, which is [tex]\(\sigma = \sqrt{64} = 8\)[/tex].

### i) Probability that it is greater than 55

First, we find the z-score for 55. The z-score tells us how many standard deviations away 55 is from the mean.

[tex]\[ z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{55 - 40}{8} = 1.875 \][/tex]

We then look up the z-score in a standard normal distribution table or use a standard normal distribution calculator to find the probability that a value is less than 1.875. This gives us the cumulative distribution function (CDF) value.

[tex]\[ P(Z < 1.875) = \text{CDF}(1.875) \approx 0.9696 \][/tex]

To find the probability that a value is greater than 55, we take the complement of this CDF value:

[tex]\[ P(X > 55) = 1 - \text{CDF}(1.875) = 1 - 0.9696 = 0.0304 \approx 0.030396361765261393 \][/tex]

So, the probability that it is greater than 55 is approximately [tex]\(0.0304\)[/tex].

### ii) Probability that it is less than 32

Next, we find the z-score for 32:

[tex]\[ z = \frac{32 - 40}{8} = -1.0 \][/tex]

We then look up the z-score in a standard normal distribution table or use a standard normal distribution calculator to find the CDF value for [tex]\(-1.0\)[/tex]:

[tex]\[ P(Z < -1.0) = \text{CDF}(-1.0) \approx 0.1587 \approx 0.15865525393145707 \][/tex]

Therefore, the probability that it is less than 32 is approximately [tex]\(0.1587\)[/tex].

### iii) Probability that it is between 35 and 50

We need to find the probability that it is between 35 and 50. This involves finding two z-scores and calculating the difference between their CDF values.

First, find the z-score for 35:

[tex]\[ z_{35} = \frac{35 - 40}{8} = -0.625 \][/tex]

Next, find the z-score for 50:

[tex]\[ z_{50} = \frac{50 - 40}{8} = 1.25 \][/tex]

Now, we find the CDF values for these z-scores:

[tex]\[ P(Z < -0.625) = \text{CDF}(-0.625) \approx 0.266 \][/tex]

[tex]\[ P(Z < 1.25) = \text{CDF}(1.25) \approx 0.8944 \][/tex]

To find the probability that a value is between 35 and 50, we subtract the CDF value for [tex]\(z_{35}\)[/tex] from the CDF value for [tex]\(z_{50}\)[/tex]:

[tex]\[ P(35 < X < 50) = \text{CDF}(1.25) - \text{CDF}(-0.625) = 0.8944 - 0.266 = 0.6284 \approx 0.6283646972844441 \][/tex]

Thus, the probability that it is between 35 and 50 is approximately [tex]\(0.6284\)[/tex].

### Summary

- Probability that it is greater than 55: [tex]\( \approx 0.0304 \)[/tex]
- Probability that it is less than 32: [tex]\( \approx 0.1587 \)[/tex]
- Probability that it is between 35 and 50: [tex]\( \approx 0.6284 \)[/tex]