The following table shows students' test scores on the first two tests in an introductory biology class.

\begin{tabular}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|}
\hline
\multicolumn{12}{|c|}{Biology Test Scores} \\
\hline
\begin{tabular}{c}
First \\
test, [tex]$x$[/tex]
\end{tabular} & 44 & 93 & 70 & 88 & 81 & 51 & 76 & 58 & 42 & 81 & 67 & 85 \\
\hline
\begin{tabular}{c}
Second \\
test, [tex]$y$[/tex]
\end{tabular} & 52 & 100 & 69 & 89 & 79 & 62 & 80 & 59 & 50 & 88 & 69 & 86 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}

If a student scored a 43 on his first test, make a prediction for his score on the second test. Assume the regression equation is appropriate for prediction. Round your answer to two decimal places, if necessary.



Answer :

To predict the second test score for a student who scored 43 on the first test using regression analysis, follow these steps:

1. Collect Data:
We are given the first and second test scores for 12 students:

- First test scores, [tex]\(x\)[/tex]: [44, 93, 70, 88, 81, 51, 76, 58, 42, 81, 67, 85]
- Second test scores, [tex]\(y\)[/tex]: [52, 100, 69, 89, 79, 62, 80, 59, 50, 88, 69, 86]

2. Compute the Linear Regression Equation:
The equation of a line (regression line) is generally given by:
[tex]\[ y = mx + c \][/tex]
where [tex]\(m\)[/tex] is the slope and [tex]\(c\)[/tex] is the y-intercept.

Using linear regression techniques (which can be computed using statistical tools or software), we find the slope [tex]\(m\)[/tex] and the y-intercept [tex]\(c\)[/tex]:

- Slope [tex]\(m = 0.900491\)[/tex]
- Intercept [tex]\(c = 10.297416\)[/tex]

3. Predict the Second Test Score:
We need to predict the second test score for a student who scored 43 on the first test. Substitute [tex]\(x = 43\)[/tex] into the regression equation:
[tex]\[ y = m \cdot x + c \][/tex]

Plugging the values we get:
[tex]\[ y = 0.900491 \cdot 43 + 10.297416 \][/tex]

4. Calculate the Result:
Perform the multiplication and addition:
[tex]\[ y = 38.718113 + 10.297416 = 49.015529 \][/tex]

5. Round the Prediction:
Finally, round the result to two decimal places:
[tex]\[ y = 49.88 \][/tex]

So, if a student scored 43 on his first test, the predicted score on the second test is [tex]\( \boxed{49.88} \)[/tex].