Question 1:
To determine the most likely way the probability was determined, we have four options:
1. High winds occur 80% of the time on this date each year.
2. Historically, in this area, high winds occur 80% of the time on days with similar meteorological conditions as today.
3. Historically, in the United States, high winds occurred 80% of the time on days with similar meteorological conditions as today.
4. Historically, high winds occur 80% of the days during this month.
To select the correct option, we should consider that weather predictions are typically based on local data rather than national data, and more specifically, they are based on conditions that are similar to the current conditions. Hence, the most relevant factor would likely be local historical data that matches the current weather conditions.
With this in mind, it seems most probable that the weather app provided the prediction based on Option 2: "Historically, in this area, high winds occur 80% of the time on days with similar meteorological conditions as today." This is because localized data would better predict specific weather phenomena like high winds in a particular area, especially when conditions are similar to those of previous events.
Question 2:
Unfortunately, the details for the second question have not been provided. To provide a detailed solution for the multiple-choice question, you would need to supply the question statement and the answer options. Only then can a step-by-step solution be given. Please provide the rest of the information for Question 2, and we can then tackle it.
