Given that the probability of a golfer making a certain putt is 17%. How would you
determine the following (use the calculator form of binom(): |
1) The probability that she will make exactly 5 of the next 15 putts?
2) That she will make less than 5 of the next 15 putts?
3) That she will make at least 5 of the putts?



Answer :

Sure, I'd be happy to walk you through the process of determining each of these probabilities using the binomial distribution.

1) The probability that she will make exactly 5 of the next 15 putts

The binomial distribution can be used to find the probability of a given number of successes (making a putt) in a fixed number of trials (15 putts). The formula for the probability mass function (PMF) of a binomial distribution is:

[tex]\[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \][/tex]

where [tex]\( \binom{n}{k} \)[/tex] is the binomial coefficient, [tex]\( n \)[/tex] is the number of trials, [tex]\( k \)[/tex] is the number of successes, and [tex]\( p \)[/tex] is the probability of a success.

In this case:
- [tex]\( n = 15 \)[/tex]
- [tex]\( k = 5 \)[/tex]
- [tex]\( p = 0.17 \)[/tex]

This tells us:
[tex]\[ P(X = 5) = \binom{15}{5} (0.17)^5 (0.83)^{10} \][/tex]

Upon calculating this, the probability that she will make exactly 5 of the next 15 putts is:
[tex]\[ P(X = 5) \approx 0.0662 \][/tex]

2) The probability that she will make less than 5 of the next 15 putts

To find the probability that she will make less than 5 putts, we need the cumulative probability for 0 through 4 successes. This can be found using the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the binomial distribution:

[tex]\[ P(X < 5) = P(X \leq 4) = \sum_{k=0}^{4} \binom{15}{k} p^k (1-p)^{15-k} \][/tex]

Upon calculating this, the cumulative probability that she will make less than 5 of the next 15 putts is:
[tex]\[ P(X < 5) \approx 0.9039 \][/tex]

3) The probability that she will make at least 5 of the putts

The probability that she will make at least 5 putts is the complement of the probability that she will make less than 5 putts:

[tex]\[ P(X \geq 5) = 1 - P(X < 5) = 1 - P(X \leq 4) \][/tex]

From the previous result:
[tex]\[ P(X \geq 5) = 1 - 0.9039 \][/tex]

Upon calculating this, the probability that she will make at least 5 of the next 15 putts is:
[tex]\[ P(X \geq 5) \approx 0.0961 \][/tex]

So, to summarize the results:
1. The probability that she will make exactly 5 of the next 15 putts is approximately 0.0662.
2. The probability that she will make less than 5 of the next 15 putts is approximately 0.9039.
3. The probability that she will make at least 5 of the putts is approximately 0.0961.