\begin{tabular}{|c|c|c|}
\hline \multicolumn{3}{|c|}{90-Day Forecast} \\
\hline \begin{tabular}{c}
Weather \\
Type
\end{tabular} & \begin{tabular}{c}
Predicted \\
Frequency
\end{tabular} & \begin{tabular}{c}
Observed \\
Frequency
\end{tabular} \\
\hline Wind & 9 & 12 \\
\hline Rain & 18 & 15 \\
\hline Clouds & 27 & 33 \\
\hline Sunshine & 36 & 30 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}

The table shows the results of the experiment to determine the 90-day weather forecast. How does the experimental probability compare to the theoretical probability?

The theoretical probability for rain is [tex]\frac{1}{5}[/tex]. The experimental probability for rain is [tex]\square[/tex].

The actual weather is [tex]\square[/tex] the theoretical probability.



Answer :

Let's walk through the steps to determine how the experimental probability for rain compares to the theoretical probability.

### Given Data:
- Predicted frequency of rain: 18 days
- Observed frequency of rain: 15 days
- Total days: 90 days
- Theoretical probability for rain: [tex]\( \frac{1}{5} \)[/tex]

### Step 1: Calculate the Experimental Probability for Rain
The experimental probability is calculated using the observed frequency divided by the total number of days.

[tex]\[ \text{Experimental Probability} = \frac{\text{Observed Frequency}}{\text{Total Days}} = \frac{15}{90} \][/tex]

Simplifying [tex]\(\frac{15}{90}\)[/tex]:

[tex]\[ \text{Experimental Probability} = \frac{1}{6} = 0.16666666666666666 \][/tex]

### Step 2: Compare the Experimental Probability to the Theoretical Probability
- The theoretical probability for rain is [tex]\( \frac{1}{5} = 0.2 \)[/tex].

### Step 3: Determine How the Actual Weather Compares to the Theoretical Probability
- Experimental Probability: [tex]\( 0.1667 \)[/tex] (approx)
- Theoretical Probability: [tex]\( 0.2 \)[/tex]

We need to compare these two probabilities:
- If experimental probability [tex]\( > \)[/tex] theoretical probability
- If experimental probability [tex]\( < \)[/tex] theoretical probability
- If experimental probability [tex]\( = \)[/tex] theoretical probability

Here, [tex]\( 0.1667 \)[/tex] is less than [tex]\( 0.2 \)[/tex].

### Conclusion
The experimental probability for rain is [tex]\( 0.1667 \)[/tex]. This means the actual weather is less than the theoretical probability.

So, we can fill in the blanks as follows:

The theoretical probability for rain is [tex]\( \frac{1}{5} \)[/tex]. The experimental probability for rain is [tex]\( 0.1667 \)[/tex]. The actual weather is [tex]\( \text{less than} \)[/tex] the theoretical probability.