Select the correct answer.

The number of music CDs sold weekly by a store follows a normal distribution with a mean of 455 and a standard deviation of 65. Which sentence summarizes this information?

A. There is an 84% chance that the shop sells more than 390 CDs in a week.
B. There is a 34% chance that the shop sells more than 390 CDs in a week.
C. There is a 34% chance that the shop sells fewer than 390 CDs in a week.
D. There is a 68% chance that the shop sells fewer than 390 CDs in a week.
E. There is a 95% chance that the shop sells more than 390 CDs in a week.



Answer :

To determine which sentence accurately summarizes the probability that a store sells more than 390 CDs in a week given a normal distribution with a mean of 455 and a standard deviation of 65, we'll follow these steps:

1. Define the Parameters:
- Mean ([tex]\(\mu\)[/tex]) = 455 CDs
- Standard deviation ([tex]\(\sigma\)[/tex]) = 65 CDs
- Value of interest (X) = 390 CDs

2. Calculate the Z-score:
The Z-score formula is given by:
[tex]\[ Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \][/tex]
where:
- [tex]\(X\)[/tex] is the value of interest (390 CDs)
- [tex]\(\mu\)[/tex] is the mean (455 CDs)
- [tex]\(\sigma\)[/tex] is the standard deviation (65 CDs)

So,
[tex]\[ Z = \frac{390 - 455}{65} = \frac{-65}{65} = -1 \][/tex]

3. Find the Probability:
To find the probability associated with a Z-score of -1, we refer to the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a standard normal distribution. The CDF gives the probability that a standard normal random variable is less than or equal to a given value.

For [tex]\(Z = -1\)[/tex], the CDF value is approximately 0.1587. This means there is a 15.87% chance that the shop sells fewer than 390 CDs in a week.

4. Complementary Probability:
To find the probability that the shop sells more than 390 CDs, we need to consider the complement of the CDF at [tex]\(Z = -1\)[/tex]. The complementary probability can be calculated as:
[tex]\[ P(X > 390) = 1 - P(X \leq 390) \][/tex]

So,
[tex]\[ P(X > 390) = 1 - 0.1587 = 0.8413 \][/tex]

This means there is approximately an 84.13% chance that the shop sells more than 390 CDs in a week.

Given this information, the correct answer is:
- A. There is an 84% chance that the shop sells more than 390 CDs in a week.