We wish to roll 5 dice. We would like to know the probability of obtaining more than three 2's. How could we use our formulas to obtain this result on a graphing calculator?

A. [tex]\text{binomedf}\left(5, \frac{1}{6}, 3\right)[/tex]
B. [tex]1 - \operatorname{binomcdf}\left(5, \frac{1}{6}, 4\right)[/tex]
C. [tex]1 - \operatorname{binomcdf}\left(5, \frac{1}{6}, 3\right)[/tex]
D. [tex]1 - \text{binompdf}\left(5, \frac{1}{6}, 3\right)[/tex]



Answer :

To find the probability of obtaining more than three 2's when rolling 5 dice, we can use the binomial distribution. Here's a detailed step-by-step solution:

1. Define the Problem:
- We have 5 dice rolls (each roll is an independent trial), so the number of trials, [tex]\( n \)[/tex], is 5.
- The probability of rolling a 2 on any single die is [tex]\( \frac{1}{6} \)[/tex].

2. Understand the Binomial Distribution:
- In a binomial distribution, the probability of getting exactly [tex]\( k \)[/tex] successes (in this case, rolling a 2) in [tex]\( n \)[/tex] trials is given by the binomial probability formula:
[tex]\[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n-k} \][/tex]
where [tex]\( \binom{n}{k} \)[/tex] is the binomial coefficient.

3. Calculate the Complement:
- Instead of directly calculating the probability of getting more than three 2's, we can use the cumulative distribution function (CDF) to find the probability of getting 0, 1, 2, or 3 2's, and subtract this from 1.
- This is because:
[tex]\[ P(X > 3) = 1 - P(X \leq 3) \][/tex]

4. Use the Binomial CDF:
- To find [tex]\( P(X \leq 3) \)[/tex] using a graphing calculator, we use the binomial CDF function:
[tex]\[ \operatorname{binomcdf}\left(n, p, k\right) \][/tex]
- Plugging in the values:
[tex]\[ \operatorname{binomcdf}\left(5, \frac{1}{6}, 3\right) \][/tex]

5. Subtract from 1:
- To find the probability of more than three 2's, we subtract the cumulative probability from 1:
[tex]\[ P(X > 3) = 1 - \operatorname{binomcdf}\left(5, \frac{1}{6}, 3\right) \][/tex]

6. Solution on a Graphing Calculator:
- Enter the values into the graphing calculator using the CDF function.
- Find [tex]\(\operatorname{binomcdf}(5, \frac{1}{6}, 3)\)[/tex].
- Subtract this value from 1.

Using this method, we find that the probability of obtaining more than three 2's when rolling 5 dice is approximately:
[tex]\[ P(X > 3) \approx 0.00334 \][/tex]

Therefore, the correct choice from the given options for this calculation would be:
[tex]\[ 1-\operatorname{binomcdf}\left(5, \frac{1}{6}, 3\right) \][/tex]

This method gives us the precise probability we are looking for, which is approximately 0.00334.